HM BR/Cube Tickets drop rate

didnt got anything the last 2 days

today on 3 chars: 2 boss 3cube

i mean the “old” 1302 you get per week round about 2 boss and 2-3 cube

perhaps rested bonus does not count for that tickets… atleast its a possibility

but in the end im now happy that i got some, even tho the rewards are miserable
same amount of gems , not alot of Leaps , still only 1 book from that cubechest, even hat a lucky room … 3 puple books

People saved up several aura’s of resonance or had a full roster of characters that are 1490+. This is where the extraplation is coming from.

Realistically one gets roughly 1.2-1.5 boss rush tickets per week if they run that character every day. This equates to 14 Chaos runs over the week so roughly about 1 in 10 chance for a ticket. Now while rest bonus is NOT QUITE double it should still bump the odds to roughly 1 in 6 or 1 in 7 runs.

The data that people were posting yesterday was doing things like 10 rested runs (equilivant of roughly 16 normal runs and not seeing a ticket) Could still be explained away as just some bad RNG but 10 rested runs and not seeing a single ticket is still rareish under the old ticket system since as long as you didn’t waste rest bonus, you would generally AT least get 1 for the week on the average.

I do think the odds might be a “little” lower since we have no access to the actual drop tables and since bracets ALSO drop only from the main lv 2 boss, its hard to tell if they affect the drop rate slighly (bracelts and tickets can drop at the same time) but they can still affect it.

After 22 runs with rested, I got one boss rush.

this makes sense then yeah. I just want the damn guild shop chests man, this can not be something that doesnt roll out before next reset, the value of those chests if they even drop a Ticket is so high to leave it out is wild.

i feel like that there is a internal pity system for tickets… so far for 14 rested characters of 1490s,
1 cube ticket was acquired on day 1, 11 were acquired on day 2 first chaos (5th or 6th if unrested), 0 acquired on day 3 so far
0 BR ticket was acquired on day 1, 3 on day 2, 10 of the ones that didn’t acquire it previous days acquired on day 3 first chaos (9th or 10th unrested)
edit 1 of the 14 was not fully rested… so result, everyone (13 toons) got 1 cube ticket and everyone got 1 BR ticket after finishing all the rested

wtf…

I agree with this statement.
I have 6 rested 1490+
Day 1 - 1 cube ticket
Day 2 - 6 cube tickets (everyone got a cube ticket this day)
Day 3 - Today, 6 BR tickets. Everyone got a BR ticket today.

I also am on this same line of thinking that there is a pity system for ticket drops at play.

Day 1: 0
Day 2: 2 Cube
Day 3: 2 BR 2 Cube on characters that did not get the 2 cube the day before.

It plays into the theory at least

I’m almost convinced you get at least 1 boss ticket per week minimum as long as you do chaos everyday on that character.

I have not not gotten one doing this.

Just got 1

1 out of 32 Chaos Dungeons with rested (at least some of them).

No Sylmael Bloodstones either?

I think they did this because of this “planned” event or they screwed up big time. Or screwed up for a reason wink :slight_smile: .

No weeklies leapstones for us unless we get lucky with Punika.

Today after a full drought, so far I’m 7/7 for Boss Rushes. I guess we hit Pity?

I got all my new tickets on the 3rd or 4th rested run for each character.

The way these things drop is indicative that the drop rate isn’t entirely random, but instead is defined in some pseudo-random way. An example might be that the drop rate could start at 0% and increase by 10% each subsequent chaos dungeon afterwards where a ticket hasn’t dropped. When the ticket drops the rate goes back down to 0% chance.

  • You’ll never get a double boss rush or double cube ticket on a rested run where you get two chances. Sometimes you will get one of each. If it was random, you would see doubles.
  • You’ll never get a boss rush ticket on the next run after receiving a boss rush ticket. Though given I don’t know how the system works and this hasn’t happened to me, it could happen.
  • Guild Vendor chests are “true random”, because sometimes you’ll open 3 and get all silver, sometimes all boss rush tickets (yes this happened to me once or twice), and sometimes a mix.

Pseudo-randomness is used in many games to promote fairness and it wouldn’t surprise or bother me if it’s used here.

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doesnt matter if only 15% frequent the website its less data, but still that 15% of ppl only have a smaller ammount of ppl but with enough data from 15% its more then sufficient to get accurate result you dont need everyone listing or reporting their drop to get an accurate statistic its gonna just have less chance of error the more data you get but at some point it will be nearly fully accurate without all the data available in the world

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i done 5 rested on the rest ! got 1 cube out of all
next days i got only 1 boss rush ticket
other than that igot none …

its all unreliable data from people who are always complaining, for all we know they have all gotten drops and still claim they havent.

youll notice they claim its a bug if they dont ge ta drop one day then say its pity if they get a drop the next.

You are onto something I got 2 Boss Rush tickets on my Gunlancer in a row. Maybe the Pseudo RNG, some kind of pity system. That probably explains why a huge portion got 0 in their first 2x - runs each.

Just got this one recently. on my 4th run.

But technically if you there hitting it on the 4th and there are 7 days players are pretty much SOL to do their weeklies (unless the plan to buy lesser bloodstones boxes). This value can be solved by having Sylmael Bloodstones tradeable for a chance to get BR tickets… I can understand why players including myself are panicking.

how’s everyones ticket drop rate on this 4th day? without rest bonus, my 14 1490 got 0 tickets total between Cube and BR. Where’s the random drop rates that’s supposed to be there?

If u do CD all 7 days u gona get you 2/2 Cube/BR tickets.

is this how it is in the old days?

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