Since the change to Una Coins instead of gold 3 weeks ago I have received no gold bars from any weekly Unas chests despite buying the max amount each week. That is 9 hefty gold chests total and 3 large gold bags total with each week earning the max tokens available.
This is a statistically significant deviation outside the realm of normal probabilities which were calculated in Korea and on reddit prior to the nerf. I pointed this out at initially, but people did not think 1 week was enough data to draw this conclusion. As each week goes on the shadow nerf becomes more obvious.
8/31/22
I am going to update this post for all the trolls who don’t understand statistics, probability or how science is done. I have opened 6 more large gold chests with no thin bars, thick bars or giant bars dropped. That is 15 total with no thin gold bars, in korea 100 large chests gave 75 gold bars. I have done a new two tailed z score to show the probabilities of this occuring if drop rates are the same between these 2 populations. The p value is less than .00001. That is less than a one in a 100 thousand chance. The standard significance for a paper to be published is less than .05 which is less than a one in 20 chance. The evidence is failry overwhelming that the drop rate of large gold chests has been changed for thin gold bars. There is good reason for AGS/Smilegate to do this to combat gold farming bots. Go ahead and troll me for saying i cannot draw results from a sample size of 15. You are wrong.
I’ve seen no difference. Had plenty of pre-patch ones where I got only gold drops and no bars. Your sample size is way to low. Plus I just got bars yesterday after purchasing my 1500 worth (3 big chests, 4 thin bars 1 thick and 0 big chunga)
No the sample size is not too low. The drop rate for a thin gold bar from the hefty gold sack was 75% before the patch. The odds of no gold bars from 9 rolls is well below a 5% chance which would be enough to publish a scientific paper that would accept that a significant change has taken place.
I’m sorry that you are too dumb to understand statistics or how scientific data is proven. There are ways to demonstrate a change with statistics when the real rate of data is unknown. The korean data farmed 100 hefty gold chests and obtained 76 thin gold bars. That is a 75% drop rate. The odds of no thin gold bars being dropped from 9 hefty gold chests is very low. Below a 5% chance (its a .00038% chance) which is what it takes to publish scientific research.
Wait sorry come again. You DO realize that using the 76 thin bars is a fallacy correct. You DO know you can get MULTIPLE thin bars on a single opening. You don’t just get 1. Those 76 could of EASILY have come in <30 chests.
Its NOT 75%
Also lol, 100 sample size is ALSO too low. come back when you have a few more ZEROS on that and maybe you might have creditability.
Been playing since release, I havnt gotten a 10k bar yet, lol some people just get the shit end of the rng stick, nothing to complain about.(wasn’t saying you were complaining, I was referring to the original post)
i’m not sure what statistical significance a single 0.00038% result means (if the 75% is actually accurate) but it sure isn’t scientific in any way and you need to stop trying to sound smarter than you actually are
Prior to the patch, according to the korean data, the odds of not getting a thin gold bar from a hefty coin chest was 25%, there were 9 rolls after the patch on a hefty coin chest. .25x.25x.25x.25.x.25x.25x.25x.25x.25x100=% chance of getting no gold bars for 9 rolls=.00038%. This is less than a one in a thousand chance. Why dont you go roll heads 9 times in a row on a coin flip and get back to me when you do so? FYI thats better odds than this.
I’ve got gold bar in hefty coin chest btw.
Maybe your expected 25% are not exactly 25%
So far the average gold I get with una’s token is similar prio/post patch.
